Overview
Record: 9-3 (6-2, 4th in Mountain West)
"Second-order" Record: 7.6-4.4
SP+ Overall Rank: 65th
New Mexico has been one of 2025's most pleasant surprises. A year ago, the school prudently hired Bronco Mendenhall, a veteran coach with ample experience out west, only for him to take over conference mate Utah State after one 5-7 season. Players left. UNM entered the year ranking 117th in returning production, which seemed to foreshadow a difficult first season for Jason Eck.
Instead, Eck and his 43 incoming transfers (seven of whom came from his prior stop, Idaho) won the program's most regular season games since 1997, which was Dennis Franchione's last year in charge. The Lobos finished 4th in a four-way tie atop the Mountain West and now get to play a Big Ten team in a bowl game just 80 minutes by air from Albuquerque.
Eck signed a contract extension at the end of November, which will not keep him at UNM for long but resets the buyout other schools would owe them if he left next year. I am a longtime Eck believer. He seems like the perfect candidate to take over at his alma mater, Wisconsin, at the end of 2026, which adds some intrigue to this game. The 2017 Cotton Bowl, where P.J. Fleck coached Western Michigan for the last time against Wisconsin before taking the Minnesota job, provides an imperfect parallel.
More immediately, the Lobos are a solid team that will provide the Gophers a real game. SP+, FPI, and CFB Graphs have this matchup as a practical toss-up. Minnesota being in the sport's second-best conference and New Mexico being in likely the third-worst does not remotely make the result a given.
Offense
Jason Eck and offensive coordinator Luke Schleusner have put together an offense that is not spectacular but respectable, ranking in the middle of FBS and the Mountain West in most statistical categories. There are more efficient teams, there are more explosive teams, and there are teams with more playmakers, but what New Mexico does works enough.
The Lobos operate at a basically even run-pass split, and getting in an early hole at Michigan forced them to go pass-first. However, in their trip to UCLA, they adopted a strictly ball-control mentality and rolled. Of UNM's 63 plays, 46 were runs, gaining 298 yards. The Lobos also let almost 35 seconds run off the clock per play. Minnesota is a better team than UCLA — especially the version of the Bruins we saw in September — but we can probably bet on a similar approach in Phoenix. At a talent disadvantage, the Lobos will want to limit possessions and stick to the ground.
The Lobos' run game relies largely on zone concepts — inside, outside, split — but has plenty of diversity, with power, counter, and trap all in the playbook. A favorite design is a rarity in 2025, the G-lead or G-scheme run, where the playside guard pulls ahead with the help of a blocking back:
The above play is out of a quasi-Wildcat package featuring backup quarterback James Laubstein. First-stringer Jack Layne sometimes leaves the field for several downs at a time to give Laubstein some work, which means he does drop back a fair bit: Laubstein has thrown 14 passes this year. However, the overwhelming majority of his snaps are designed runs. He has exactly 1 more rushing yard than Layne (310 versus 309) on six fewer carries (43 to 49). Both quarterbacks take the ball on draw and read option.
























